{"id":13817,"date":"2020-06-23T09:49:29","date_gmt":"2020-06-23T13:49:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/?p=13817"},"modified":"2020-06-23T09:49:29","modified_gmt":"2020-06-23T13:49:29","slug":"does-x-really-cause-y","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/2020\/06\/does-x-really-cause-y\/","title":{"rendered":"Does \u2018X\u2019 Really Cause \u2018Y\u2019?"},"content":{"rendered":"<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-14159\" src=\"https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/shutterstock_1309034215_rev2-1024x727.jpeg\" alt=\"News\" width=\"1024\" height=\"727\" srcset=\"https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/shutterstock_1309034215_rev2-1024x727.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/shutterstock_1309034215_rev2-300x213.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/shutterstock_1309034215_rev2-768x545.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/engineering.jhu.edu\/magazine-archive\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/shutterstock_1309034215_rev2.jpeg 1034w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\n<p>In an age when many stories in the reported news exaggerate claims and use bold language that doesn&#8217;t match actual data, a course offered last January over Intersession couldn\u2019t have been timelier. Its aim: to help students detect biases and flaws in what they read.<\/p>\n<p>During the first week of <a href=\"https:\/\/hub.jhu.edu\/2020\/01\/17\/causal-inference-intersession-649-em1-art1-dtd-students\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Should Susan Smoke? An Introduction to Causal Inference<\/a>, the nine students in the class examined a\u00a0<em>New England Journal of Medicine<\/em>\u00a0study that claimed a correlation between chocolate consumption per capita and the number of Nobel laureates in a selection of countries. The students were shocked that such a study could be published.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI read it as a joke!\u201d one student chortled.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt definitely wasn&#8217;t completely serious, was it?\u201d another asked as she shook her head in disbelief.<\/p>\n<p>While an extreme example, the course instructors say\u00a0kooky correlations\u00a0like the one highlighted in this study can appear anywhere, and students need to be vigilant in scrutinizing the world around them.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe want students to learn how causal inference can help them reason through important issues, such as the approval of new drugs and treatments, climate change, education policy, and the criminal justice system,\u201d says Razieh Nabi, a graduate student in the Whiting School\u2019s\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cs.jhu.edu\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Department of Computer Science<\/a>\u00a0and one of the course&#8217;s instructors.<\/p>\n<p>Nabi and course co-instructor Rohit Bhattacharya, also a graduate student in computer science, say their ultimate goal in teaching the class was to help their students become more scientifically literate and informed citizens.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPapers come out all the time that say \u2018x\u2019 is associated with \u2018y,\u2019 like, drinking wine and getting cancer,\u201d Rohit says. \u201cWe\u2019re teaching students to pause and ask, \u2018If I do x, will it <em>really<\/em> cause y?\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Some of the other case studies up for discussion in the course included whether smoking causes lung cancer and whether estrogen causes endometrial cancer. Students also examined name-swapping experiments in hiring discrimination cases to more clearly conceptualize what fairness means in the legal system and how antidiscrimination laws use the language of causal inference.<\/p>\n<p>While there is a more advanced course in causal inference at Johns Hopkins, Nabi and Bhattacharya&#8217;s Intersession course was geared toward undergraduates because they believe it\u2019s essential for students to have these reasoning tools as early as possible.<\/p>\n<p>Eventually, they hope their course will become offered regularly during Intersession and perhaps someday even adapted for high school classrooms.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In an age when many stories in the reported news exaggerate claims and use bold language that doesn&#8217;t match actual data, a course offered last January over Intersession couldn\u2019t have been timelier.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":13909,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[5043,5045],"class_list":["post-13817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-students","tag-intersession","tag-critical-thinking-skills","issue-summer-2020"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Does \u2018X\u2019 Really Cause \u2018Y\u2019? 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